{"id":6093,"date":"2026-10-29T17:42:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T21:42:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canasanta.ca\/?p=6093"},"modified":"2026-10-29T17:42:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T21:42:12","slug":"air-canada-recorta-prevision-combustible-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canasanta.ca\/en\/al-dia\/air-canada-recorta-prevision-combustible-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"AIR CANADA RECORTA SU PREVISI\u00d3N POR EL PRECIO DEL COMBUSTIBLE"},"content":{"rendered":"

Air Canada ha rebajado su previsi\u00f3n de beneficios para 2026 despu\u00e9s de que el fuerte encarecimiento del combustible de aviaci\u00f3n superara la capacidad de la aerol\u00ednea para compensar el golpe mediante tarifas m\u00e1s altas. La advertencia llega en un momento en que el conflicto en Oriente Medio mantiene elevados los precios de la energ\u00eda y vuelve a presionar directamente el costo de viajar.<\/p>\n

La mayor aerol\u00ednea canadiense inform\u00f3 este jueves 29 de octubre que ahora espera un EBITDA ajustado de entre 2.400 y 2.700 millones de d\u00f3lares canadienses para el conjunto del a\u00f1o. Su previsi\u00f3n anterior se situaba entre 2.900 y 3.200 millones.<\/p>\n

EL COMBUSTIBLE CAMBIA LAS CUENTAS<\/strong><\/p>\n

El problema central est\u00e1 en el combustible. Air Canada calcula que el precio medio del combustible para aviones durante el cuarto trimestre ser\u00e1 de aproximadamente 1,72 d\u00f3lares canadienses por litro, muy por encima de los 1,29 d\u00f3lares que hab\u00eda previsto anteriormente.<\/p>\n

La diferencia es considerable para una compa\u00f1\u00eda que opera cientos de vuelos diarios. El combustible es uno de los mayores costos variables de cualquier aerol\u00ednea y una subida persistente puede erosionar r\u00e1pidamente los m\u00e1rgenes incluso cuando los aviones vuelan llenos.<\/p>\n

Desde el comienzo de la guerra con Ir\u00e1n, las aerol\u00edneas han aumentado tarifas para intentar proteger sus resultados. Sin embargo, el combustible se ha encarecido a un ritmo que est\u00e1 superando esos incrementos de precios. La gran inc\u00f3gnita es cu\u00e1nto m\u00e1s podr\u00e1n trasladar las compa\u00f1\u00edas al pasajero antes de que el precio del boleto empiece a reducir la demanda.<\/p>\n

LOS PASAJEROS PUEDEN TERMINAR PAGANDO M\u00c1S<\/strong><\/p>\n

Para los viajeros canadienses, el aviso de Air Canada es importante porque muestra que la presi\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica ya no se limita a las gasolineras. El encarecimiento del petr\u00f3leo se est\u00e1 trasladando al transporte a\u00e9reo y puede acabar reflej\u00e1ndose en boletos m\u00e1s caros, recortes de capacidad o ambas cosas.<\/p>\n

Hasta ahora, la demanda de viajes se ha mantenido relativamente resistente. Pero las aerol\u00edneas se encuentran ante una ecuaci\u00f3n inc\u00f3moda: necesitan recuperar una parte mayor del costo del combustible sin elevar las tarifas hasta un nivel que haga que familias y empresas reduzcan sus viajes.<\/p>\n

Ese dilema no afecta solamente a Canad\u00e1. Grandes aerol\u00edneas estadounidenses tambi\u00e9n han reducido recientemente sus previsiones de ganancias y han advertido que podr\u00edan ser necesarios recortes adicionales de capacidad para proteger precios y controlar costos.<\/p>\n

INGRESOS FUERTES, M\u00c1RGENES BAJO PRESI\u00d3N<\/strong><\/p>\n

La revisi\u00f3n de las previsiones no significa que Air Canada est\u00e9 atravesando un desplome de pasajeros. Sus ingresos operativos del tercer trimestre aumentaron alrededor de un 21% y alcanzaron aproximadamente 7.000 millones de d\u00f3lares canadienses.<\/p>\n

La contradicci\u00f3n resume el problema actual de la aviaci\u00f3n: se puede vender m\u00e1s y, al mismo tiempo, ganar menos de lo esperado cuando uno de los principales insumos se dispara.<\/p>\n

El precio del petr\u00f3leo contin\u00faa elevado por la incertidumbre geopol\u00edtica. Este jueves, los futuros del crudo estadounidense se manten\u00edan por encima de los 100 d\u00f3lares por barril, pese a retroceder ante las expectativas de posibles contactos diplom\u00e1ticos entre Washington y Teher\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

CANAD\u00c1 TAMBI\u00c9N SIENTE EL GOLPE EN LA INFLACI\u00d3N<\/strong><\/p>\n

La presi\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica ya est\u00e1 influyendo en decisiones econ\u00f3micas mucho m\u00e1s amplias. Un d\u00eda antes, el Banco de Canad\u00e1 elev\u00f3 su tasa de referencia en 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos, hasta el 2,5%, su primera subida en m\u00e1s de tres a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

El banco central explic\u00f3 que el encarecimiento persistente de la energ\u00eda puede extenderse al resto de la econom\u00eda. La inflaci\u00f3n anual canadiense alcanz\u00f3 el 3,1% en septiembre y la instituci\u00f3n advirti\u00f3 que podr\u00edan ser necesarias nuevas subidas de tasas si los mayores costos comienzan a generalizarse.<\/p>\n

En ese contexto, la revisi\u00f3n de Air Canada ofrece un ejemplo concreto de c\u00f3mo ese proceso puede producirse. El petr\u00f3leo aumenta el costo del combustible; las empresas intentan trasladarlo a sus clientes; los precios finales suben y la inflaci\u00f3n encuentra nuevas v\u00edas para propagarse.<\/p>\n

UN INVIERNO M\u00c1S CARO PARA VOLAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

La incertidumbre sigue siendo elevada porque nadie sabe cu\u00e1nto durar\u00e1 la tensi\u00f3n en Oriente Medio ni d\u00f3nde se estabilizar\u00e1 el petr\u00f3leo. Para Air Canada, esa variable puede decidir buena parte de sus resultados de cierre de a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

Para el pasajero, la se\u00f1al es m\u00e1s sencilla: volar podr\u00eda seguir encareci\u00e9ndose. Si el combustible permanece en los niveles actuales, las aerol\u00edneas tendr\u00e1n que elegir entre absorber una parte mayor del golpe, reducir vuelos o trasladar m\u00e1s costos al precio de los boletos.<\/p>\n

Air Canada sigue transportando pasajeros y generando ingresos a gran escala. Lo que acaba de cambiar es el precio de hacerlo. Y cuando llenar los tanques de un avi\u00f3n cuesta mucho m\u00e1s de lo previsto, tarde o temprano alguien termina pagando la diferencia.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Air Canada ha rebajado su previsi\u00f3n de beneficios para 2026 despu\u00e9s de que el fuerte encarecimiento del combustible de aviaci\u00f3n superara la capacidad de la aerol\u00ednea para compensar el golpe mediante tarifas m\u00e1s altas. La advertencia llega en un momento en que el conflicto en Oriente Medio mantiene elevados los precios de la energ\u00eda y […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":284226809,"featured_media":6094,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[33205457,33206623,33205451],"tags":[33207992,33207994,33205732,33207584,33207996,33207993,33207995],"class_list":["post-6093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-al-dia","category-canada","category-impuestos","tag-air-canada","tag-aviacion-canadiense","tag-canada","tag-combustible-aviacion","tag-costos-viaje","tag-precio-petroleo","tag-tarifas-aereas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAIR CANADA RECORTA SU PREVISI\u00d3N POR EL PRECIO DEL COMBUSTIBLE - 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