Canad\u00e1 y Estados Unidos han reactivado a toda velocidad las negociaciones para aliviar los aranceles estadounidenses sobre el acero y los autom\u00f3viles canadienses. Despu\u00e9s de dos meses de enfrentamiento comercial, seis fuentes consultadas por Reuters aseguran que ambos gobiernos trabajan en un posible acuerdo que podr\u00eda materializarse incluso antes de las elecciones legislativas estadounidenses del 3 de noviembre.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
El acero y los autom\u00f3viles est\u00e1n en el centro<\/strong><\/p>\nLas conversaciones se concentran en los grav\u00e1menes impuestos bajo la Secci\u00f3n 232 de la legislaci\u00f3n comercial estadounidense. Actualmente, determinados productos canadienses de acero afrontan aranceles de hasta el 50 %, mientras que los autom\u00f3viles est\u00e1n sometidos a una tasa del 25 %.<\/p>\n
La magnitud de esas barreras ha golpeado directamente a dos industrias estrat\u00e9gicas para Canad\u00e1, especialmente en Ontario, donde la fabricaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos y componentes forma parte de una cadena de suministro profundamente integrada con plantas estadounidenses. El acero cruza igualmente la frontera en diferentes etapas de producci\u00f3n, por lo que un arancel no afecta \u00fanicamente al exportador canadiense: tambi\u00e9n puede elevar los costos para fabricantes y consumidores estadounidenses.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Carney ve movimiento desde Washington<\/strong><\/p>\nEl primer ministro Mark Carney confirm\u00f3 el lunes que las conversaciones se han intensificado y sostuvo que cualquier progreso responde a un acercamiento de Washington hacia las posiciones defendidas por Ottawa. Canad\u00e1, dijo, mantiene l\u00edneas rojas claras y no aceptar\u00e1 un acuerdo que considere perjudicial para sus intereses.<\/p>\n
El ministro canadiense responsable del comercio con Estados Unidos, Dominic LeBlanc, y el secretario de Comercio estadounidense, Howard Lutnick, figuran entre los principales responsables de las conversaciones. Reuters, citando a dos fuentes estadounidenses y cuatro canadienses, se\u00f1ala que Washington todav\u00eda busca concesiones adicionales antes de cerrar un pacto.<\/p>\n
No existe, por tanto, un acuerdo firmado. Las negociaciones pueden avanzar r\u00e1pidamente o volver a atascarse, como ocurri\u00f3 en agosto, cuando una propuesta que contemplaba reducciones importantes termin\u00f3 colapsando por desacuerdos sobre veh\u00edculos pesados y otras condiciones comerciales.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
La presi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica cambia el tablero<\/strong><\/p>\nEl calendario estadounidense a\u00f1ade urgencia. Las elecciones legislativas del 3 de noviembre se aproximan y la disputa comercial con Canad\u00e1 se ha convertido en un problema pol\u00edtico en estados fronterizos y manufactureros. Algunos candidatos republicanos han pedido poner fin al enfrentamiento, mientras las industrias afectadas presionan para recuperar condiciones comerciales m\u00e1s previsibles.<\/p>\n
El presidente Donald Trump afirm\u00f3 durante el fin de semana que esperaba una soluci\u00f3n pr\u00f3xima. Sin embargo, Ottawa mantiene cautela despu\u00e9s de la ruptura de las conversaciones de agosto. Canad\u00e1 respondi\u00f3 entonces con contramedidas arancelarias y programas de apoyo para trabajadores y empresas expuestos a las tarifas estadounidenses.<\/p>\n
El Gobierno canadiense anunci\u00f3 en agosto aranceles de represalia de entre 15 % y 50 % sobre distintos productos estadounidenses y un paquete de apoyo de 7.500 millones de d\u00f3lares canadienses. Esa respuesta dej\u00f3 claro que Ottawa estaba preparada para sostener una confrontaci\u00f3n prolongada si Washington manten\u00eda las barreras.<\/p>\n
<\/div>\n
Una tregua tendr\u00eda impacto inmediato<\/strong><\/p>\nUna reducci\u00f3n de los aranceles podr\u00eda aliviar r\u00e1pidamente la presi\u00f3n sobre sider\u00fargicas, fabricantes de autom\u00f3viles, proveedores de piezas y comunidades industriales canadienses. Tambi\u00e9n disminuir\u00eda la incertidumbre para empresas estadounidenses que dependen de insumos producidos al norte de la frontera.<\/p>\n
Pero la experiencia de los \u00faltimos meses obliga a separar negociaci\u00f3n de acuerdo. Las dos econom\u00edas siguen estrechamente conectadas y el incentivo para pactar es considerable, pero todav\u00eda quedan concesiones por resolver. Por ahora, la se\u00f1al importante es que una negociaci\u00f3n que parec\u00eda congelada ha vuelto a moverse y que Ottawa y Washington intentan encontrar una salida antes de que la pol\u00edtica electoral estadounidense vuelva a cambiar el terreno.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Canad\u00e1 y Estados Unidos han reactivado a toda velocidad las negociaciones para aliviar los aranceles estadounidenses sobre el acero y los autom\u00f3viles canadienses. Despu\u00e9s de dos meses de enfrentamiento comercial, seis fuentes consultadas por Reuters aseguran que ambos gobiernos trabajan en un posible acuerdo que podr\u00eda materializarse incluso antes de las elecciones legislativas estadounidenses del […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":284226809,"featured_media":5633,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[33205457,33205451],"tags":[33207646,33207645,33207361,33206983],"class_list":["post-5634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-al-dia","category-impuestos","tag-acero-canadiense","tag-aranceles-canada-estados-unidos","tag-industria-automotriz-canadiense","tag-mark-carney"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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